New data shows EV batteries lasting longer than expected, yet US sales continue to fall
New data from Recurrent and Geotab challenges common beliefs about EV battery longevity, yet US EV sales dropped by 28% in June due to policy changes and consumer skepticism.
(July 25, 2026 – 3:28 pm)
Summary:
Modern electric vehicles retain most of their original range even after five years. According to Recurrent’s analysis, a 2026 model with a 325-mile rating would still offer approximately 309 miles after half a decade. Geotab’s study on over 22,700 vehicles supports these findings, indicating an average annual degradation rate of only 2%.
Despite these advancements, EV sales in the US are declining. Cox Automotive estimates June sales at 75,000 new EVs, down 28% from last year. A Deloitte survey reveals that only 7% of Americans prefer their next car to be electric, while used EV sales increased by over 20% in June compared to the previous year.
The primary reason for the sales decline is policy-related. The Trump administration allowed the $7,500 federal EV tax credit to expire, and weakened emissions regulations, which Ford CEO Jim Farley warned could halve EV demand. Several automakers have since halted or postponed EV models in the US market.
Key Takeaways:
- EV batteries are far more durable than previously thought, with replacement rates as low as three in every thousand vehicles built from 2022 onward (Recurrent).
- The used EV market is growing, but new sales are stagnant due to the absence of federal incentives and policy changes.
- Consumer perceptions about EV battery life need to align with reality for the industry to thrive.